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F1 Drivers' Champion

Kimi Antonelli59%
// MARKET-IMPLIED PROBABILITIES
Kimi Antonelli
59%
George Russell
19%
Lewis Hamilton
15%
Charles Leclerc
3%
Lando Norris
2%
Max Verstappen
2%
Oscar Piastri
1%
Isack Hadjar
0%
Fernando Alonso
0%
Lance Stroll
0%
Esteban Ocon
0%
Oliver Bearman
0%
Nico Hülkenberg
0%
Gabriel Bortoleto
0%
Pierre Gasly
0%
Franco Colapinto
0%
Liam Lawson
0%
Arvid Lindblad
0%
Alexander Albon
0%
Carlos Sainz Jr.
0%
Valtteri Bottas
0%
Sergio Pérez
0%
VOLUME
$196.3M
24H VOLUME
$773K
LIQUIDITY
$15.7M
RESOLVES
Dec 6, 2026

Traders currently price "Kimi Antonelli" at 59% for "F1 Drivers' Champion". Full distribution: Kimi Antonelli 59%, George Russell 19%, Lewis Hamilton 15%, Charles Leclerc 3%. The market has traded $196.3M in total volume and resolves Dec 6, 2026. Kimi Antonelli’s commanding 41-point championship lead after seven rounds stems from Mercedes’ strong early-season package and his own run of five straight victories, multiple poles, and consistent podiums that have kept him ahead of teammates and rivals. A late mechanical retirement in Barcelona allowed Lewis Hamilton to claim his first Ferrari win and close the gap, yet Antonelli retains the strongest implied probability among traders thanks to his pace, qualifying edge, and proven reliability in most races. George Russell trails closely in the standings but has been hampered by retirements, while Hamilton’s recent form offers the main threat; the rest of the field trails by larger margins with limited realistic paths to the title.

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