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2026 Men’s US Open Winner (Tennis)

Jannik Sinner52%
// MARKET-IMPLIED PROBABILITIES
Jannik Sinner
52%
Alexander Zverev
13%
Carlos Alcaraz
12%
Novak Djokovic
6%
Ben Shelton
5%
Taylor Fritz
3%
Daniil Medvedev
2%
Jakub Mensik
1%
Arthur Fils
1%
Joao Fonseca
1%
Felix Auger Aliassime
1%
Alexander Bublik
1%
Frances Tiafoe
1%
Andrey Rublev
1%
Lorenzo Musetti
1%
Flavio Cobolli
0%
Matteo Berrettini
0%
Jiri Lehecka
0%
Jack Draper
0%
Hubert Hurkacz
0%
Grigor Dimitrov
0%
Holger Rune
0%
VOLUME
$6.3M
24H VOLUME
$44K
LIQUIDITY
$1.4M
RESOLVES
Sep 13, 2026

Traders currently price "Jannik Sinner" at 52% for "2026 Men’s US Open Winner (Tennis)". Full distribution: Jannik Sinner 52%, Alexander Zverev 13%, Carlos Alcaraz 12%, Novak Djokovic 6%. The market has traded $6.3M in total volume and resolves Sep 13, 2026. Jannik Sinner sits at the top of the 2026 men’s US Open market as the clear consensus leader due to his status as world No. 1, a recent Wimbledon title that extended his major tally, and an elite season record that underscores consistent hard-court strength heading into Flushing Meadows. Alexander Zverev’s second-place positioning reflects his Roland Garros triumph and strong overall form, while Carlos Alcaraz trails despite prior US Open success amid recent withdrawals from Cincinnati that have introduced minor injury uncertainty. Novak Djokovic and younger contenders like Ben Shelton and Taylor Fritz occupy lower implied probabilities consistent with age, ranking gaps, and limited recent major breakthroughs on outdoor hard courts. These trader assessments align with current ATP standings and late-summer preparation results.

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