Billboard Hot 100 #2 Song Week of August 22
- I Knew It, I Knew You - Taylor Swift
- 93%
- +18.5
- Song A
- 50%
- —
- Song B
- 50%
- —
- Song C
- 50%
- —
- Song D
- 50%
- —
- Song E
- 50%
- —
- Song F
- 50%
- —
- Song G
- 50%
- —
- Other
- 50%
- —
- Boston - Stella Lefty
- 4%
- −7.0
- Been By Now - Morgan Wallen
- 1%
- −0.7
- hate that i made you love me - Ariana Grande
- 1%
- −6.6
- Choosin' Texas - Ella Langley
- 0%
- —
- Drop Dead - Olivia Rodrigo
- 0%
- —
- Petal - Ariana Grande
- 0%
- —
- Be Her - Ella Langley
- 0%
- —
Traders currently price "I Knew It, I Knew You - Taylor Swift" at 93% for "Billboard Hot 100 #2 Song Week of August 22". Over the past 24 hours that probability moved up 18.5 points. Full distribution: I Knew It, I Knew You - Taylor Swift 93%, Song A 50%, Song B 50%, Song C 50%. The market has traded $16K in total volume and resolves Aug 18, 2026. Taylor Swift’s “I Knew It, I Knew You,” the Toy Story 5 soundtrack single, drives the market’s 93% implied probability for Billboard Hot 100 #2 the week of August 22. The track’s sustained radio dominance, including a record-extending 16th Adult Pop Airplay No. 1, combined with eight straight weeks in the top three and robust streaming and sales data, underpins trader consensus. Its movie tie-in and Swift’s established chart history create a wide lead over competitors. An upset would require an unexpected late surge from a new release or sharp gains by tracks from artists such as Morgan Wallen, Ariana Grande, or Ella Langley that shift the final streaming, sales, and airplay mix before the chart locks.
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