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Maduro's Wife Cilia Flores released from custody by...?

December 3117% 0.5pt 24h
// MARKET-IMPLIED PROBABILITIES
December 31
17%
January 9
0%
January 31
0%
VOLUME
$1.4M
24H VOLUME
$2
LIQUIDITY
$9K
RESOLVES
Jan 31, 2026

Traders currently price "December 31" at 17% for "Maduro's Wife Cilia Flores released from custody by...?". Over the past 24 hours that probability moved up 0.5 points. Full distribution: December 31 17%, January 9 0%, January 31 0%. The market has traded $1.4M in total volume and resolves Jan 31, 2026. Cilia Flores remains in U.S. federal pretrial detention at the Metropolitan Detention Center in Brooklyn following her capture alongside Nicolás Maduro during a U.S. military operation in Caracas on January 3, 2026. The couple faces longstanding federal drug trafficking and weapons charges, with arraignment and pretrial proceedings occurring in Manhattan federal court under Judge Alvin Hellerstein. No bail applications have been filed, and a trial date has been set for June 2027. Recent hearings have focused on procedural matters without altering custody status. Market pricing on release scenarios reflects the extended timeline of U.S. criminal proceedings, potential diplomatic negotiations, and historical patterns for high-profile extradited defendants awaiting trial.

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