Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
- Gavin Newsom
- 18%
- —
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez
- 15%
- −1.1
- Jon Ossoff
- 12%
- −0.5
- Kamala Harris
- 7%
- —
- Josh Shapiro
- 5%
- —
- Pete Buttigieg
- 5%
- +0.8
- Jon Stewart
- 2%
- —
- Andy Beshear
- 2%
- —
- Rahm Emanuel
- 2%
- +0.5
- Ro Khanna
- 2%
- —
- Wes Moore
- 1%
- —
- James Talarico
- 1%
- —
- Michelle Obama
- 1%
- —
- Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson
- 1%
- —
- Stephen A. Smith
- 1%
- —
- Mark Kelly
- 1%
- —
- Mark Cuban
- 1%
- —
- J.B. Pritzker
- 1%
- —
- Roy Cooper
- 1%
- —
- Gretchen Whitmer
- 1%
- —
- Cory Booker
- 1%
- —
- Chelsea Clinton
- 1%
- —
- Chris Murphy
- 1%
- —
- Gina Raimondo
- 1%
- —
- Zohran Mamdani
- 1%
- —
- Jared Polis
- 1%
- —
- Barack Obama
- 1%
- —
- Hillary Clinton
- 1%
- —
- Liz Cheney
- 1%
- —
- Bernie Sanders
- 1%
- —
- LeBron James
- 1%
- —
- MrBeast
- 1%
- —
- Oprah Winfrey
- 1%
- —
- Ruben Gallego
- 1%
- —
- Raphael Warnock
- 1%
- —
- Tim Walz
- 1%
- —
- John Fetterman
- 1%
- —
- Phil Murphy
- 1%
- —
- Hunter Biden
- 1%
- —
- George Clooney
- 1%
- —
- Andrew Yang
- 1%
- —
- Beto O’Rourke
- 1%
- —
- Kim Kardashian
- 1%
- —
- Jasmine Crockett
- 1%
- —
- Graham Platner
- 0%
- —
Traders currently price "Gavin Newsom" at 18% for "Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028". Full distribution: Gavin Newsom 18%, Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez 15%, Jon Ossoff 12%, Kamala Harris 7%. The market has traded $1229.0M in total volume and resolves Nov 7, 2028. Gavin Newsom leads the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination market at 24.3% due to his high national profile as California governor, frequent public clashes with the Trump administration, and positioning around the 2026 midterms and state redistricting efforts. The wide-open field features fragmented support across governors like Josh Shapiro and Andy Beshear, senators such as Jon Ossoff and Mark Kelly, and progressives including Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez, reflecting competing priorities over name recognition, fundraising, and general-election appeal. Recent polling shows Newsom competitive with Kamala Harris in ranked-choice simulations, while trader consensus prices in the advantages of term-limited executives who can focus on national messaging without immediate reelection pressures. The 2026 midterms and any resulting shifts in party infrastructure or donor alignment could consolidate backing behind fewer contenders ahead of formal primary activity.
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