Republican Presidential Nominee 2028
- Robert F. Kennedy Jr.
- 49%
- —
- J.D. Vance
- 41%
- —
- Marco Rubio
- 26%
- —
- Tucker Carlson
- 4%
- —
- Ron DeSantis
- 2%
- —
- Donald Trump Jr.
- 1%
- —
- Vivek Ramaswamy
- 1%
- —
- Donald Trump
- 1%
- —
- Glenn Youngkin
- 1%
- —
- Ivanka Trump
- 1%
- —
- Tulsi Gabbard
- 1%
- —
- Greg Abbott
- 1%
- —
- Ted Cruz
- 1%
- —
- Elon Musk
- 1%
- —
- Rand Paul
- 1%
- —
- Marjorie Taylor Greene
- 1%
- —
- Nikki Haley
- 1%
- —
- Robert F. Kennedy Jr.
- 1%
- —
- Brian Kemp
- 1%
- —
- Josh Hawley
- 1%
- —
- Katie Britt
- 1%
- —
- Tom Brady
- 1%
- —
- Steve Bannon
- 1%
- —
- Kim Kardashian
- 1%
- —
- Thomas Massie
- 1%
- —
- Sarah Huckabee Sanders
- 1%
- —
- Byron Donalds
- 1%
- —
- Elise Stefanik
- 1%
- —
- Matt Gaetz
- 1%
- —
- Erika Kirk
- 1%
- —
- Eric Trump
- 1%
- —
- Joe Kent
- 1%
- —
- Pete Hegseth
- 1%
- —
- John Thune
- 1%
- —
- Kristi Noem
- 1%
- —
- Mike Pence
- 1%
- —
Traders currently price "Robert F. Kennedy Jr." at 49% for "Republican Presidential Nominee 2028". Full distribution: Robert F. Kennedy Jr. 49%, J.D. Vance 41%, Marco Rubio 26%, Tucker Carlson 4%. The market has traded $670.9M in total volume and resolves Nov 7, 2028. RFK Jr., serving as HHS Secretary, leads trader consensus at 49% due to his high-profile “Make America Healthy Again” agenda, national tours, and rallies that have built a distinct populist base within the GOP since joining the Trump administration. Sitting Vice President J.D. Vance trails at 33.1% as the institutional frontrunner with early endorsements and polling strength, though his favorability remains mixed amid broader administration headwinds. Secretary of State Marco Rubio sits at 23.9%, reflecting his cabinet role and policy visibility as a potential alternative. Lower-priced names such as Tucker Carlson and Ron DeSantis register limited movement, consistent with fewer recent catalysts shifting their positioning ahead of primary dynamics expected after the 2026 midterms.
Odds sourced live from Polymarket, refreshed through the day. Prediction-market participation carries risk and may be restricted in your jurisdiction. Informational only — not investment advice.