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MACROLIVE

Elon Musk # tweets August 11 - August 18, 2026?

180-19919%
// MARKET-IMPLIED PROBABILITIES
180-199
19%
200-219
18%
220-239
14%
160-179
14%
240-259
11%
140-159
8%
260-279
7%
280-299
3%
120-139
3%
300-319
2%
100-119
1%
320-339
1%
340-359
1%
360-379
1%
80-99
0%
380-399
0%
400-419
0%
420-439
0%
440-459
0%
500+
0%
60-79
0%
<20
0%
20-39
0%
40-59
0%
460-479
0%
480-499
0%
VOLUME
$84K
24H VOLUME
$84K
LIQUIDITY
$254K
RESOLVES
Aug 18, 2026

Traders currently price "180-199" at 19% for "Elon Musk # tweets August 11 - August 18, 2026?". Full distribution: 180-199 19%, 200-219 18%, 220-239 14%, 160-179 14%. The market has traded $84K in total volume and resolves Aug 18, 2026. Elon Musk’s posting pace on X typically averages 25–35 posts daily amid his mix of company updates, commentary, and real-time reactions, placing the week’s expected volume near 200 tweets and explaining why the 180–239 range leads with closely bunched probabilities. Recent SpaceX earnings commentary on Starship catch attempts, Starlink expansion, and heavy AI spending has sustained attention, while multiple Falcon 9 Starlink launches scheduled for August 11, 12, and 16 provide natural catalysts for increased activity. Traders weigh these milestones against Musk’s historically variable cadence, which can swing with breaking news or lighter personal days, keeping the distribution tight around the middle buckets rather than favoring extremes.

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