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MACROLIVE

Elon Musk # tweets August 14 - August 21, 2026?

180-19921% 1.0pt 24h
// MARKET-IMPLIED PROBABILITIES
180-199
21%
160-179
19%
200-219
18%
220-239
14%
140-159
11%
240-259
9%
260-279
5%
120-139
4%
280-299
2%
300-319
1%
100-119
1%
320-339
1%
340-359
1%
360-379
0%
80-99
0%
380-399
0%
400-419
0%
500+
0%
60-79
0%
<20
0%
20-39
0%
40-59
0%
420-439
0%
440-459
0%
460-479
0%
480-499
0%
VOLUME
$220K
24H VOLUME
$62K
LIQUIDITY
$742K
RESOLVES
Aug 21, 2026

Traders currently price "180-199" at 21% for "Elon Musk # tweets August 14 - August 21, 2026?". Over the past 24 hours that probability moved up 1.0 points. Full distribution: 180-199 21%, 160-179 19%, 200-219 18%, 220-239 14%. The market has traded $220K in total volume and resolves Aug 21, 2026. Elon Musk’s consistently high posting volume on X drives the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 160–220 tweets for the August 14–21 window, with 180–199 edging the field at 20.5%. Daily trackers show averages climbing from roughly 30 posts earlier in 2025 to 34-plus recently, with individual days exceeding 40 amid commentary on Tesla, SpaceX, xAI, and political topics. Variability in news flow and personal engagement creates the narrow spreads between adjacent bins, as traders weigh historical pace against potential quiet periods or spikes. No singular catalyst has shifted sentiment sharply in the past week, leaving the distribution sensitive to real-time activity through the weekend.

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