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MACROLIVE

Elon Musk # tweets in August 2026?

1000+16% 1.0pt 24h
// MARKET-IMPLIED PROBABILITIES
1000+
16%
840-879
14%
880-919
13%
800-839
11%
920-959
8%
780-799
8%
760-779
7%
960-999
6%
740-759
5%
720-739
5%
700-719
4%
680-699
3%
660-679
2%
640-659
2%
620-639
1%
600-619
1%
580-599
1%
560-579
1%
540-559
0%
520-539
0%
480-499
0%
500-519
0%
180-199
0%
200-219
0%
220-239
0%
240-259
0%
260-279
0%
280-299
0%
300-319
0%
320-339
0%
340-359
0%
360-379
0%
380-399
0%
400-419
0%
420-439
0%
440-459
0%
460-479
0%
<20
0%
20-39
0%
40-59
0%
60-79
0%
80-99
0%
100-119
0%
120-139
0%
140-159
0%
160-179
0%
VOLUME
$50K
24H VOLUME
$5K
LIQUIDITY
$106K
RESOLVES
Sep 1, 2026

Traders currently price "1000+" at 16% for "Elon Musk # tweets in August 2026?". Over the past 24 hours that probability moved down 1.0 points. Full distribution: 1000+ 16%, 840-879 14%, 880-919 13%, 800-839 11%. The market has traded $50K in total volume and resolves Sep 1, 2026. Elon Musk’s sustained posting cadence on X continues to anchor trader expectations for August 2026 in the high-800s to 1,000-plus range. Recent weekly markets resolved in the 220-239 band, reflecting a pace of roughly 30-plus posts per day amid ongoing commentary on SpaceX, Tesla, Grok updates, and cultural memes. Early August activity has shown no major slowdown or breakout catalyst, keeping the distribution tight between those leading buckets as traders weigh typical variance from news cycles against the platform owner’s established habit of frequent, unfiltered engagement. With roughly three weeks remaining, any sustained quiet period or sudden controversy could shift momentum, but current volume trends support the market’s close clustering around 800–1,000 outcomes.

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Odds sourced live from Polymarket, refreshed through the day. Prediction-market participation carries risk and may be restricted in your jurisdiction. Informational only — not investment advice.