Elon Musk # tweets August 4 - August 11, 2026?

Traders currently price "180-199" at 43% for "Elon Musk # tweets August 4 - August 11, 2026?". Over the past 24 hours that probability moved up 10.0 points. Full distribution: 180-199 43%, 200-219 28%, 160-179 17%, 220-239 8%. The market has traded $1.3M in total volume and resolves Aug 11, 2026. Elon Musk’s posting pace on X during the first five days of the August 4–11 window has kept the 180–199 and 200–219 buckets as clear market leaders at 42.5% and 28.5% respectively. Trackers show a recent daily average in the low-to-mid 30s, a level consistent with routine engagement around Starlink revenue projections and SpaceX updates rather than any viral spike or major company milestone. With only two days left, traders are pricing in modest weekend activity that would land the week inside the 180–219 band, echoing similar Polymarket resolutions from late July and early August. A sudden surge tied to an unannounced Tesla or xAI announcement could still push totals higher, but current sentiment reflects steady rather than elevated output.

Odds sourced live from Polymarket, refreshed through the day. Prediction-market participation carries risk and may be restricted in your jurisdiction. Informational only — not investment advice.