MACROLIVE

FedEx Cup Playoffs: Winner

Scottie Scheffler17%▲ 0.5pt 24h

// MARKET-IMPLIED PROBABILITIES

Scottie Scheffler: 17%; +0.5
Rory McIlroy: 14%; —
Sudarshan Yellamaraju: 8%; +5.1
Cameron Young: 7%; +0.5
Xander Schauffele: 6%; —
Tommy Fleetwood: 5%; +0.8
Hideki Matsuyama: 5%; —
J.J. Spaun: 5%; −0.9
Ludvig Åberg: 4%; —
Nico Echavarria: 4%; —
Chris Gotterup: 4%; —
Matt Fitzpatrick: 3%; —
Si Woo Kim: 3%; —
Sam Burns: 3%; −0.8
Robert MacIntyre: 3%; —
Daniel Berger: 2%; −7.0
Sahith Theegala: 2%; —
Collin Morikawa: 2%; —
Akshay Bhatia: 2%; —
Russell Henley: 2%; −0.9
Sepp Straka: 2%; —
Nicolai Højgaard: 1%; —
Min Woo Lee: 1%; —
Justin Rose: 1%; —
Ryan Gerard: 1%; —
Jacob Bridgeman: 1%; −1.3
Ryo Hisatsune: 0%; −0.7
Gary Woodland: 0%; −0.6
Adam Scott: 0%; —
Jake Knapp: 0%; —

VOLUME

$2.6M

24H VOLUME

$814

LIQUIDITY

$49K

RESOLVES

Aug 31, 2026

Traders currently price "Scottie Scheffler" at 17% for "FedEx Cup Playoffs: Winner". Over the past 24 hours that probability moved up 0.5 points. Full distribution: Scottie Scheffler 17%, Rory McIlroy 14%, Sudarshan Yellamaraju 8%, Cameron Young 7%. The market has traded $2.6M in total volume and resolves Aug 31, 2026. Scottie Scheffler's position as FedExCup points leader entering the playoffs, supported by elite strokes-gained totals and a low scoring average, anchors trader sentiment at 17 percent implied probability, while Rory McIlroy's major victory and consistent top finishes keep him within range at 13.5 percent. The bunched field reflects the three-event playoff format at TPC Southwind and beyond, where current-round results like Scheffler's steady 68 and McIlroy's opening 74 can shift momentum rapidly amid deep fields featuring Cameron Young, Xander Schauffele, and Tommy Fleetwood. Multiple players retain realistic paths through the BMW Championship and Tour Championship due to points resets and variable form over the coming weeks.

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