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MACROLIVE

Highest grossing movie in 2026?

Spider-Man: Brand New Day93%
// MARKET-IMPLIED PROBABILITIES
Spider-Man: Brand New Day
93%
Avengers: Doomsday
7%
Dune: Messiah
0%
The Super Mario Galaxy Movie
0%
Wicked: For Good
0%
Star Wars: The Mandalorian and Grogu
0%
The Odyssey
0%
The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the Reaping
0%
Wuthering Heights
0%
Scream 7
0%
Michael
0%
Toy Story 5
0%
Project Hail Mary
0%
Jumanji 3
0%
VOLUME
$17.0M
24H VOLUME
$84K
LIQUIDITY
$2.9M
RESOLVES
Dec 31, 2026

Traders currently price "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" at 93% for "Highest grossing movie in 2026?". Full distribution: Spider-Man: Brand New Day 93%, Avengers: Doomsday 7%, Dune: Messiah 0%, The Super Mario Galaxy Movie 0%. The market has traded $17.0M in total volume and resolves Dec 31, 2026. Spider-Man: Brand New Day’s record-shattering July opening and rapid ascent past $1.7 billion worldwide have cemented its position as the clear 2026 frontrunner, with traders citing its unprecedented domestic preview totals, fast $1 billion milestone, and sustained legs that already eclipsed Toy Story 5. Strong critical reception and audience demand for the Tom Holland-Zendaya pairing have driven repeat viewings, widening the gap over competitors still climbing or yet to open. Avengers: Doomsday remains the only plausible spoiler if its December release delivers an exceptional extended run, but historical patterns show few films overcome such an early, massive lead in the final months of the year.

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