Highest temperature in Shenzhen on August 15?
- 32°C
- 100%
- +66.8
- 33°C
- 0%
- −28.3
- 27°C or below
- 0%
- —
- 28°C
- 0%
- —
- 29°C
- 0%
- −1.8
- 30°C
- 0%
- −3.5
- 31°C
- 0%
- −16.4
- 34°C
- 0%
- −11.9
- 35°C
- 0%
- −1.9
- 36°C
- 0%
- −0.5
- 37°C or higher
- 0%
- —
Traders currently price "32°C" at 100% for "Highest temperature in Shenzhen on August 15?". Over the past 24 hours that probability moved up 66.8 points. Full distribution: 32°C 100%, 33°C 0%, 27°C or below 0%, 28°C 0%. The market has traded $74K in total volume and resolves Aug 15, 2026. Forecast consensus from agencies including the UK Met Office and timeanddate models drives the overwhelming market-implied probability for a 32°C high in Shenzhen on August 15, 2026. Typical late-summer subtropical monsoon conditions feature high humidity, scattered thunderstorms, and persistent cloud cover that limit solar heating and promote evaporative cooling, keeping daytime peaks near the 32–34°C range observed in historical August averages. Actual resolution depends on official station readings at the close of the 24-hour period; brief clearing or stronger insolation could push maxima to 33°C or above, while heavier rainfall would likely cap them at or below the leading outcome.
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