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MACROSETTLED

Kai and Speed finish their Minecraft marathon by...?

August 14100%
// MARKET-IMPLIED PROBABILITIES
August 14
100%
August 18
100%
August 19
100%
August 20
100%
August 21
100%
August 26
100%
August 31
100%
VOLUME
$260K
24H VOLUME
$31K
LIQUIDITY
$0
RESOLVED
Aug 31, 2026

This market has settled: "August 14" was the outcome, priced at 100% at close. Full distribution: August 14 100%, August 18 100%, August 19 100%, August 20 100%. The market has traded $260K in total volume and resolved Aug 31, 2026. Kai Cenat and iShowSpeed launched their joint Minecraft Hardcore marathon on August 7 with a roughly 10-day target window and rules centered on defeating four bosses in one run. The duo wrapped the event in just over five days after 42 deaths, aligning closely with their prior 4.4-day Hardcore marathon and removing timing risk for most resolution dates. Trader volume has since concentrated on later cutoffs now trading above 99 cents, reflecting the completed milestone and limited remaining upside from resets or extensions. Upcoming factors are minimal since the stream has ended, though any post-event clarification on exact finish timestamps could still influence the tightest near-term buckets.

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