Largest Company end of September?
- NVIDIA
- 90%
- +4.0
- Company F
- 50%
- —
- Company G
- 50%
- —
- Company H
- 50%
- —
- Company I
- 50%
- —
- Company J
- 50%
- —
- Company K
- 50%
- —
- Company L
- 50%
- —
- Company M
- 50%
- —
- Company N
- 50%
- —
- Company O
- 50%
- —
- Company P
- 50%
- —
- Company Q
- 50%
- —
- Company R
- 50%
- —
- Company S
- 50%
- —
- Company T
- 50%
- —
- Other
- 50%
- —
- Apple
- 7%
- −3.0
- Alphabet
- 3%
- −1.1
- Tesla
- 0%
- —
- Amazon
- 0%
- —
- Saudi Aramco
- 0%
- —
- Broadcom
- 0%
- —
- Microsoft
- 0%
- —
- SpaceX
- 0%
- —
Traders currently price "NVIDIA" at 90% for "Largest Company end of September?". Over the past 24 hours that probability moved up 4.0 points. Full distribution: NVIDIA 90%, Company F 50%, Company G 50%, Company H 50%. The market has traded $150K in total volume and resolves Sep 30, 2026. NVIDIA's commanding 89.5% implied probability stems from its sustained lead as the world's largest company by market cap, currently around $5.0–5.4 trillion, fueled by dominant positioning in AI accelerators and GPUs amid robust data-center demand. Recent earnings and analyst reports highlight continued revenue growth from Blackwell and related platforms, outpacing peers like Apple and Alphabet, which sit at roughly $4.4 trillion and $4.2–4.5 trillion respectively. Earlier 2026 swings, including brief Apple overtakes tied to AI investment sentiment, have stabilized, with no major regulatory, competitive, or macroeconomic shifts in the past month likely to reverse NVIDIA's edge before end-September. Traders view the short resolution window and NVIDIA's execution track record as key factors locking in consensus.
Odds sourced live from Polymarket, refreshed through the day. Prediction-market participation carries risk and may be restricted in your jurisdiction. Informational only — not investment advice.