MACROLIVE

LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs LYON (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Playoffs

Game 1 Winner100%▲ 17.0pt 24h

// MARKET-IMPLIED PROBABILITIES

Game 1 Winner: 100%; +17.0
Game 2 Winner: 100%; +17.9
Game 3 Winner: 100%; +17.9
Match Winner: 100%; +6.5
Game Handicap: BLG (-1.5) vs LYON (+1.5): 100%; +13.5
Game Handicap: BLG (-2.5) vs LYON (+2.5): 100%; +40.5
Both Teams Slay a Dragon: 100%; +29.0
Odd/Even Total Kills: 100%; +49.5
Odd/Even Total Kills: 100%; +49.5
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor: 100%; +62.0
Both Teams Slay a Dragon: 100%; +33.0
First Blood in Game 2?: 100%; +26.5
Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 2?: 100%; +50.4
Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 2?: 100%; +50.0
Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 3?: 100%; +62.5
Total Kills Over/Under 36.5 in Game 2?: 100%; —
Total Kills Over/Under 33.5 in Game 2?: 100%; —
Total Kills Over/Under 42.5 in Game 2?: 100%; —
Total Kills Over/Under 39.5 in Game 2?: 100%; —
Total Kills Over/Under 45.5 in Game 2?: 100%; —
Total Kills Over/Under 48.5 in Game 2?: 100%; —
Game 4 Winner: 50%; −13.0
Any Player Quadra Kill: 50%; —
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor: 50%; −0.5
Both Teams Slay a Dragon: 50%; +2.0
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors: 50%; −1.0
Any Player Quadra Kill: 50%; −0.5
Any Player Penta Kill: 50%; —
Odd/Even Total Kills: 50%; —
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor: 50%; −0.5
Both Teams Slay a Dragon: 50%; +0.5
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors: 50%; —
Any Player Quadra Kill: 50%; −0.5
Any Player Penta Kill: 50%; −1.0
Odd/Even Total Kills: 50%; —
First Blood in Game 4?: 50%; −22.0
Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 4?: 50%; —
Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 4?: 50%; +0.5
Total Kills Over/Under 33.5 in Game 4?: 50%; —
O/U 3.5 Games: 0%; −40.5
O/U 4.5 Games: 0%; −13.0
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor: 0%; −28.0
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors: 0%; −27.5
Any Player Quadra Kill: 0%; −37.0
Any Player Penta Kill: 0%; −27.5
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor: 0%; −37.5
Both Teams Slay a Dragon: 0%; −66.5
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors: 0%; −37.0
Any Player Penta Kill: 0%; −37.0
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors: 0%; −33.0
Any Player Quadra Kill: 0%; −37.5
Any Player Penta Kill: 0%; −43.0
Odd/Even Total Kills: 0%; −50.0
First Blood in Game 3?: 0%; −73.5
First Blood in Game 1?: 0%; −73.5
Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1?: 0%; −71.0
Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 3?: 0%; −66.5
Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 1?: 0%; −50.4
Total Kills Over/Under 33.5 in Game 3?: 0%; —
Total Kills Over/Under 54.5 in Game 2?: 0%; —
Total Kills Over/Under 36.5 in Game 3?: 0%; —
Total Kills Over/Under 39.5 in Game 3?: 0%; —

VOLUME

$6.3M

24H VOLUME

LIQUIDITY

RESOLVES

Jul 6, 2026

Traders currently price "Game 1 Winner" at 100% for "LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs LYON (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Playoffs". Over the past 24 hours that probability moved up 17.0 points. Full distribution: Game 1 Winner 100%, Game 2 Winner 100%, Game 3 Winner 100%, Match Winner 100%. The market has traded $6.3M in total volume and resolves Jul 6, 2026. Bilibili Gaming enters the MSI 2026 knockout series as the top-ranked LPL side after claiming a third straight LPL Split 2 title and maintaining strong form through Split 3 group play, featuring a stable roster anchored by Bin, Knight, Xun, Viper, and ON. LYON, the lower-seeded LCS representative, faces a significant regional gap against LPL competition, with limited recent international results and lower world ranking. Historical head-to-head trends and recent LPL dominance have shaped trader consensus toward a decisive BLG series win, though BO5 formats allow for potential adaptation or individual standout performances from underdogs to influence outcomes.

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