MACROSETTLED

LoL: Top Esports vs LGD Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend

Both Teams Slay a Dragon100%

// MARKET-IMPLIED PROBABILITIES

Both Teams Slay a Dragon: 100%; +40.0
Any Player Quadra Kill: 100%; +40.5
Odd/Even Total Kills: 100%; +49.5
Both Teams Slay a Dragon: 100%; +48.5
Any Player Quadra Kill: 100%; +50.5
Any Player Penta Kill: 100%; +74.5
First Blood in Game 1?: 100%; +50.0
Total Kills Over/Under 33.5 in Game 1?: 100%; +50.0
Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 1?: 100%; +50.0
Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1?: 100%; —
Game Handicap: LGD (-1.5) vs Top Esports (+1.5): 100%; —
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor: 50%; −1.5
Both Teams Slay a Dragon: 50%; —
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors: 50%; —
Any Player Quadra Kill: 50%; −3.5
Any Player Penta Kill: 50%; −7.5
Odd/Even Total Kills: 50%; —
Game 1 Winner: 0%; −72.0
Game 2 Winner: 0%; −72.0
Match Winner: 0%; −81.5
O/U 2.5 Games: 0%; −38.0
Game Handicap: TES (-1.5) vs LGD Gaming (+1.5): 0%; −55.5
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor: 0%; −42.0
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors: 0%; −40.5
Any Player Penta Kill: 0%; −16.0
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor: 0%; −50.5
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors: 0%; −39.5
Odd/Even Total Kills: 0%; −50.0
First Blood in Game 2?: 0%; −49.6
Total Kills Over/Under 33.5 in Game 2?: 0%; −50.4
Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 2?: 0%; −50.0
Total Kills Over/Under 36.5 in Game 1?: 0%; —
Total Kills Over/Under 39.5 in Game 1?: 0%; —
Total Kills Over/Under 42.5 in Game 1?: 0%; —
Total Kills Over/Under 45.5 in Game 1?: 0%; —
Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 2?: 0%; —
Total Kills Over/Under 36.5 in Game 2?: 0%; —

VOLUME

$2.3M

24H VOLUME

LIQUIDITY

RESOLVED

Aug 13, 2026

This market has settled: "Both Teams Slay a Dragon" was the outcome, priced at 100% at close. Full distribution: Both Teams Slay a Dragon 100%, Any Player Quadra Kill 100%, Odd/Even Total Kills 100%, Both Teams Slay a Dragon 100%. The market has traded $2.3M in total volume and resolved Aug 13, 2026. Top Esports enters this LPL Split 3 Group Ascend BO3 as the stronger side against LGD Gaming, supported by a dominant head-to-head record across recent splits and more consistent series wins in 2026. TES maintains a stable roster featuring Tian in the jungle and JackeyLove in the bot lane, with recent momentum that includes breaking top teams' streaks and holding a competitive position in the group standings. LGD, by contrast, has dropped multiple series in recent weeks, showing coordination problems and sitting lower in the Ascend table after early defeats. The matchup favors TES experience in high-stakes LPL play, though LGD could exploit early map advantages or meta shifts to extend the series.

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