MACROSETTLED

LoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend

Game Handicap: BLG (-1.5) vs ThunderTalk Gaming (+1.5)100%

// MARKET-IMPLIED PROBABILITIES

Game Handicap: BLG (-1.5) vs ThunderTalk Gaming (+1.5): 100%; +34.4
Both Teams Slay a Dragon: 100%; +50.0
First Blood in Game 2?: 100%; +49.5
First Blood in Game 1?: 100%; +50.0
Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 2?: 100%; +50.0
Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1?: 100%; —
Total Kills Over/Under 24.5 in Game 2?: 100%; —
Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 2?: 100%; —
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor: 50%; −1.5
Both Teams Slay a Dragon: 50%; +9.5
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors: 50%; —
Any Player Quadra Kill: 50%; −3.0
Any Player Penta Kill: 50%; −6.5
Odd/Even Total Kills: 50%; —
Game 1 Winner: 0%; −21.4
Game 2 Winner: 0%; −22.4
Match Winner: 0%; −13.5
O/U 2.5 Games: 0%; −28.9
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor: 0%; −49.5
Both Teams Slay a Dragon: 0%; −30.0
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors: 0%; −40.0
Any Player Quadra Kill: 0%; −37.5
Any Player Penta Kill: 0%; −15.0
Odd/Even Total Kills: 0%; −50.0
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor: 0%; −41.0
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors: 0%; −39.0
Any Player Quadra Kill: 0%; −37.5
Any Player Penta Kill: 0%; −15.0
Odd/Even Total Kills: 0%; −50.0
Total Kills Over/Under 33.5 in Game 1?: 0%; −50.0
Total Kills Over/Under 33.5 in Game 2?: 0%; −50.0
Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 1?: 0%; −50.0
Total Kills Over/Under 36.5 in Game 1?: 0%; —
Total Kills Over/Under 36.5 in Game 2?: 0%; —
Total Kills Over/Under 39.5 in Game 1?: 0%; —
Total Kills Over/Under 39.5 in Game 2?: 0%; —
Total Kills Over/Under 42.5 in Game 2?: 0%; —
Total Kills Over/Under 45.5 in Game 2?: 0%; —

VOLUME

$2.4M

24H VOLUME

LIQUIDITY

RESOLVED

Aug 13, 2026

This market has settled: "Game Handicap: BLG (-1.5) vs ThunderTalk Gaming (+1.5)" was the outcome, priced at 100% at close. Full distribution: Game Handicap: BLG (-1.5) vs ThunderTalk Gaming (+1.5) 100%, Both Teams Slay a Dragon 100%, First Blood in Game 2? 100%, First Blood in Game 1? 100%. The market has traded $2.4M in total volume and resolved Aug 13, 2026. Bilibili Gaming enters this LPL Split 3 Group Ascend best-of-three as the clear frontrunner, sitting undefeated atop the group with elite roster depth featuring stars such as Knight in mid, Viper on bot, and jungler Xun. ThunderTalk Gaming, by contrast, ranks far lower in world standings and has shown inconsistent results after advancing from an earlier group. Their most recent head-to-head in July saw BLG prevail 2-1 despite dropping one map, underscoring BLG’s superior macro execution and individual carry potential. With no reported roster changes or patch disruptions immediately preceding the series, traders’ consensus reflects BLG’s sustained split dominance and TT’s limited ability to upset higher-tier competition on this stage.

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