
MLB: 2026 AL Central Champion
- Chicago White Sox
- 45%
- −1.6
- Detroit Tigers
- 26%
- −4.5
- Cleveland Guardians
- 14%
- +2.0
- Minnesota Twins
- 12%
- +0.5
- Kansas City Royals
- 0%
- —
Traders currently price "Chicago White Sox" at 45% for "MLB: 2026 AL Central Champion". Over the past 24 hours that probability moved down 1.6 points. Full distribution: Chicago White Sox 45%, Detroit Tigers 26%, Cleveland Guardians 14%, Minnesota Twins 12%. The market has traded $675K in total volume and resolves Oct 11, 2026. The Chicago White Sox hold the AL Central lead at 62-58 and sit atop trader consensus at 45.1% implied probability after a sharp midseason turnaround that has produced one of the league’s stronger records since early June. Their improved offense and pitching have shifted momentum in a division where no team has separated dramatically. The Detroit Tigers trail by 2.5 games at 60-61 with 26.0% odds, staying in contention through steady recent form and a balanced roster. Cleveland and Minnesota, each several games back with records near .490, carry 13.5% and 11.9% odds respectively, reflecting limited separation in a tightly bunched race. Kansas City remains far behind at 49-73.
Odds sourced live from Polymarket, refreshed through the day. Prediction-market participation carries risk and may be restricted in your jurisdiction. Informational only — not investment advice.
