
MLB: Batting Average Leader
- Yordan Alvarez
- 32%
- −0.5
- Luis Arraez
- 28%
- —
- Otto Lopez
- 12%
- −1.5
- Yandy Díaz
- 4%
- —
- Freddie Freeman
- 3%
- —
- Giancarlo Stanton
- 1%
- −0.5
- Vladimir Guerrero Jr.
- 1%
- —
- Jeremy Peña
- 1%
- —
- Bobby Witt Jr.
- 1%
- —
- Wilyer Abreu
- 1%
- —
- Drake Baldwin
- 1%
- —
- Nico Hoerner
- 1%
- —
- Andy Pages
- 1%
- —
- CJ Abrams
- 1%
- —
- Mauricio Dubón
- 1%
- —
- Alec Burleson
- 0%
- —
- Oneil Cruz
- 0%
- —
- Trea Turner
- 0%
- —
- Riley Greene
- 0%
- —
- Bo Bichette
- 0%
- —
- Josh Naylor
- 0%
- —
- Geraldo Perdomo
- 0%
- —
- Ben Rice
- 0%
- —
- Jordan Walker
- 0%
- —
- Brandon Nimmo
- 0%
- —
- Sal Stewart
- 0%
- —
- Aaron Judge
- 0%
- —
- Jacob Wilson
- 0%
- —
- George Springer
- 0%
- —
- Shea Langeliers
- 0%
- —
- Corbin Carroll
- 0%
- —
Traders currently price "Yordan Alvarez" at 32% for "MLB: Batting Average Leader". Over the past 24 hours that probability moved down 0.5 points. Full distribution: Yordan Alvarez 32%, Luis Arraez 28%, Otto Lopez 12%, Yandy Díaz 4%. The market has traded $1.3M in total volume and resolves Sep 28, 2026. Yordan Alvarez holds the edge in trader consensus due to his league-leading .322 batting average through mid-August, paired with elite on-base and slugging rates that reflect sustained plate discipline and power. Luis Arraez trails closely at .313, drawing support from his proven contact-hitting profile and multiple prior batting titles, even after a midseason move between clubs. Otto Lopez sits third near .314 but trails in market pricing amid questions over sample size and consistency. With roughly six weeks left, the bunched top group reflects how small swings in at-bats, health, or late-season form among qualifiers can reorder the final leaderboard in this narrow-margin race.
Odds sourced live from Polymarket, refreshed through the day. Prediction-market participation carries risk and may be restricted in your jurisdiction. Informational only — not investment advice.
