
MLB: Highest ABS Challenge Success Rate (Team)
- Team A
- 50%
- —
- Team B
- 50%
- —
- Team C
- 50%
- —
- Team D
- 50%
- —
- Team E
- 50%
- —
- Other
- 50%
- —
- Cincinnati Reds
- 35%
- +1.8
- Philadelphia Phillies
- 29%
- +11.3
- Miami Marlins
- 27%
- —
- Pittsburgh Pirates
- 26%
- +5.9
- Toronto Blue Jays
- 25%
- +3.5
- Milwaukee Brewers
- 24%
- +7.0
- Kansas City Royals
- 24%
- +3.8
- New York Mets
- 23%
- +2.3
- Cleveland Guardians
- 22%
- +3.4
- Washington Nationals
- 20%
- +2.5
- Arizona Diamondbacks
- 20%
- —
- Baltimore Orioles
- 19%
- —
- Chicago White Sox
- 19%
- +1.0
- Atlanta Braves
- 17%
- +13.0
- Houston Astros
- 14%
- —
- Detroit Tigers
- 6%
- —
- Athletics
- 4%
- −5.7
- Los Angeles Dodgers
- 4%
- —
- Tampa Bay Rays
- 3%
- −5.1
- New York Yankees
- 1%
- —
- Colorado Rockies
- 1%
- —
- Chicago Cubs
- 1%
- —
- Seattle Mariners
- 0%
- —
- Boston Red Sox
- 0%
- —
- Los Angeles Angels
- 0%
- —
- Minnesota Twins
- 0%
- —
- San Diego Padres
- 0%
- —
- San Francisco Giants
- 0%
- —
- St. Louis Cardinals
- 0%
- —
- Texas Rangers
- 0%
- —
Traders currently price "Team A" at 50% for "MLB: Highest ABS Challenge Success Rate (Team)". Full distribution: Team A 50%, Team B 50%, Team C 50%, Team D 50%. The market has traded $1.3M in total volume and resolves Oct 11, 2026. Cincinnati Reds lead MLB's 2026 ABS challenge success rates at roughly 63% overall, driven primarily by elite catcher performance (70.7%) that exceeds league norms where backstops average near 58-64% overturns versus lower rates for batters. Philadelphia Phillies, Pittsburgh Pirates, and Miami Marlins sit close behind in the 56-60% range, reflecting strong positional contributions and selective challenge usage that keep team totals competitive. Recent midseason data from sources like Baseball Savant and ESPN show narrow gaps among a half-dozen clubs, with success hinging on catcher framing instincts, pitch-tracking accuracy, and limited remaining challenges per game. This clustering sustains trader consensus around 25-35% implied probabilities for the top group, as small sample fluctuations or injury-related roster tweaks could shift standings before season's end.
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