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MACROLIVE

MLB: Most Home Runs (Team)

Team D51%
// MARKET-IMPLIED PROBABILITIES
Team D
51%
Team A
50%
Team B
50%
Team C
50%
Team E
50%
Other
50%
New York Yankees
47%
Washington Nationals
39%
San Francisco Giants
29%
New York Mets
16%
Baltimore Orioles
15%
Colorado Rockies
14%
Houston Astros
7%
Los Angeles Dodgers
6%
Atlanta Braves
4%
Tampa Bay Rays
4%
Milwaukee Brewers
3%
Chicago White Sox
3%
Minnesota Twins
3%
Pittsburgh Pirates
2%
Cleveland Guardians
2%
Cincinnati Reds
2%
Philadelphia Phillies
1%
Los Angeles Angels
1%
Chicago Cubs
1%
Toronto Blue Jays
1%
Texas Rangers
0%
Boston Red Sox
0%
Miami Marlins
0%
Athletics
0%
Seattle Mariners
0%
Arizona Diamondbacks
0%
Kansas City Royals
0%
San Diego Padres
0%
St. Louis Cardinals
0%
Detroit Tigers
0%
VOLUME
$590K
24H VOLUME
$159
LIQUIDITY
$22K
RESOLVES
Oct 11, 2026

Traders currently price "Team D" at 51% for "MLB: Most Home Runs (Team)". Full distribution: Team D 51%, Team A 50%, Team B 50%, Team C 50%. The market has traded $590K in total volume and resolves Oct 11, 2026. The 2026 MLB home run race remains tightly contested among several contenders, with trader consensus reflecting balanced implied probabilities across leading options near even money. Washington Nationals pace the league with 176 homers through mid-August, powered by strong offensive output and a favorable ballpark environment, yet New York Yankees sit just behind at 169 while Atlanta Braves and Houston Astros hover around 162-164. Recent form shows consistent power production from key sluggers across these clubs, with minimal separation in per-game rates and no dominant surge from any single roster in the past week. Late-season schedule strength, potential injuries, and bullpen usage could still shift totals meaningfully before the final out.

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Odds sourced live from Polymarket, refreshed through the day. Prediction-market participation carries risk and may be restricted in your jurisdiction. Informational only — not investment advice.