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MLB: Runs Leader

Aaron Judge3% 0.9pt 24h
// MARKET-IMPLIED PROBABILITIES
Aaron Judge
3%
Kyle Schwarber
3%
Shohei Ohtani
3%
Ben Rice
2%
Yordan Alvarez
2%
José Ramírez
2%
Gunnar Henderson
1%
Zach Neto
1%
José Bell
1%
Byron Buxton
1%
Carlos Correa
1%
Drake Baldwin
1%
Luke Wood
1%
Julio Rodríguez
0%
Juan Soto
0%
Francisco Lindor
0%
Cal Raleigh
0%
Corbin Carroll
0%
Dansby Swanson
0%
Mookie Betts
0%
Mike Trout
0%
Brett Turang
0%
Fernando Tatis Jr.
0%
Bobby Witt Jr.
0%
George Springer
0%
Elly De La Cruz
0%
Jose Altuve
0%
Randy Arozarena
0%
VOLUME
$1.7M
24H VOLUME
$0
LIQUIDITY
$23K
RESOLVES
Sep 28, 2026

Traders currently price "Aaron Judge" at 3% for "MLB: Runs Leader". Over the past 24 hours that probability moved up 0.9 points. Full distribution: Aaron Judge 3%, Kyle Schwarber 3%, Shohei Ohtani 3%, Ben Rice 2%. The market has traded $1.7M in total volume and resolves Sep 28, 2026. In the 2026 MLB season, the runs-scored race remains highly competitive through mid-August, with James Wood pacing the majors near 100 runs amid the Nationals' league-leading offense. Contenders like Matt Olson and Pete Crow-Armstrong sit close behind near 86 runs each, supported by strong on-base skills, lineup spots, and team run environments that boost scoring chances. The fragmented market pricing reflects numerous viable options still in contention, driven by remaining schedule strength, health status, and pace factors such as walks, extra-base hits, and stolen bases. Recent form in August and roster stability continue to shape the broad distribution of implied probabilities across the field.

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Odds sourced live from Polymarket, refreshed through the day. Prediction-market participation carries risk and may be restricted in your jurisdiction. Informational only — not investment advice.