Mykhailo Fedorov reinstated as Ukrainian Defense Minister by...?

Traders currently price "August 31" at 3% for "Mykhailo Fedorov reinstated as Ukrainian Defense Minister by...?". Full distribution: August 31 3%, July 17 0%, July 24 0%, July 31 0%. The market has traded $320K in total volume and resolves Jul 31, 2026. President Volodymyr Zelenskyy dismissed Mykhailo Fedorov as defense minister in mid-July 2026 during a broader cabinet reshuffle, replacing him with acting minister Yevhenii Khmara from the security service. Fedorov, appointed in January 2026 and credited with advancing drone and technological capabilities, rejected alternative roles and conditioned any return on regaining the defense portfolio. Sustained public protests in Kyiv and other cities through late July and early August have kept pressure on the administration, with demonstrators citing Fedorov’s popularity and reform agenda. Zelenskyy has not signaled reversal, leaving parliamentary confirmation processes and any future government adjustments as potential resolution triggers for related markets.

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