NBA Free Agency: James Harden Next Team
- Cleveland Cavaliers
- 97%
- −0.7
- Team A
- 50%
- —
- Team B
- 50%
- —
- Other
- 50%
- —
- Golden State Warriors
- 3%
- —
- Atlanta Hawks
- 1%
- —
- Memphis Grizzlies
- 0%
- —
- Houston Rockets
- 0%
- —
- Phoenix Suns
- 0%
- —
- Boston Celtics
- 0%
- —
- Brooklyn Nets
- 0%
- —
- Charlotte Hornets
- 0%
- —
- Chicago Bulls
- 0%
- —
- Dallas Mavericks
- 0%
- —
- Denver Nuggets
- 0%
- —
- Detroit Pistons
- 0%
- —
- Indiana Pacers
- 0%
- —
- LA Clippers
- 0%
- —
- Los Angeles Lakers
- 0%
- —
- Miami Heat
- 0%
- —
- Milwaukee Bucks
- 0%
- —
- Minnesota Timberwolves
- 0%
- —
- New Orleans Pelicans
- 0%
- —
- New York Knicks
- 0%
- —
- Oklahoma City Thunder
- 0%
- —
- Orlando Magic
- 0%
- —
- Philadelphia 76ers
- 0%
- —
- Portland Trail Blazers
- 0%
- —
- Sacramento Kings
- 0%
- —
- San Antonio Spurs
- 0%
- —
- Toronto Raptors
- 0%
- —
- Utah Jazz
- 0%
- —
- Washington Wizards
- 0%
- —
Traders currently price "Cleveland Cavaliers" at 97% for "NBA Free Agency: James Harden Next Team". Over the past 24 hours that probability moved down 0.7 points. Full distribution: Cleveland Cavaliers 97%, Team A 50%, Team B 50%, Other 50%. The market has traded $1.3M in total volume and resolves Oct 31, 2026. Cleveland Cavaliers hold a dominant 96.9% implied probability in the James Harden free agency market due to his midseason 2025-26 trade from the Clippers and immediate positive impact alongside Donovan Mitchell, including a run to the Eastern Conference Finals. Harden declined his $42 million player option to pursue a new multi-year deal, with both sides showing patience amid roster flexibility efforts and no competing suitors emerging in reporting. Trader consensus reflects Harden's fit in Cleveland's system, strong personal chemistry with Mitchell, and the absence of viable alternatives at other destinations. Scenarios that could still shift odds include an unexpected rival offer altering cap dynamics or unforeseen contract impasse, though current developments point to swift re-signing.
Odds sourced live from Polymarket, refreshed through the day. Prediction-market participation carries risk and may be restricted in your jurisdiction. Informational only — not investment advice.