Next James Bond actor?
- Jack Lowden
- 44%
- +21.6
- No Bond chosen
- 20%
- +0.8
- Callum Turner
- 16%
- −4.5
- Aaron Taylor-Johnson
- 7%
- −4.2
- Theo James
- 6%
- —
- Jacob Elordi
- 4%
- −2.0
- Tom Holland
- 1%
- —
- Harris Dickinson
- 1%
- −2.6
- Tom Hardy
- 1%
- —
- Paul Mescal
- 1%
- —
- Josh O'Connor
- 1%
- −3.1
- Pierce Brosnan
- 1%
- —
- Henry Cavill
- 0%
- −4.7
- Timothee Chalamet
- 0%
- —
- James Norton
- 0%
- —
- Robert James-Collier
- 0%
- —
- Michael B Jordan
- 0%
- —
Traders currently price "Jack Lowden" at 44% for "Next James Bond actor?". Over the past 24 hours that probability moved up 21.6 points. Full distribution: Jack Lowden 44%, No Bond chosen 20%, Callum Turner 16%, Aaron Taylor-Johnson 7%. The market has traded $94K in total volume and resolves Dec 31, 2026. Recent podcast comments from Richard Osman identifying Jack Lowden as strongly considered for the role have propelled the Scottish actor to the top of market-implied odds at 43.9%, overtaking prior frontrunner Callum Turner. Persistent industry speculation around British talent suited for multiple films, combined with the absence of any official casting announcement from producers or Amazon, supports the sizable share for “No Bond chosen.” Other contenders like Aaron Taylor-Johnson and Theo James reflect longstanding rumors without fresh catalysts, while the secretive nature of Bond casting keeps probabilities fluid ahead of expected decisions later this year.
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