Nicolás Maduro released from custody by...?

Traders currently price "December 31" at 7% for "Nicolás Maduro released from custody by...?". Full distribution: December 31 7%, January 9 0%, January 31 0%. The market has traded $2.7M in total volume and resolves Jan 31, 2026. U.S. forces captured Nicolás Maduro and his wife Cilia Flores in Caracas on January 3, 2026, during a military operation and transferred them to federal custody in New York to face longstanding narco-terrorism and drug trafficking charges. They have pleaded not guilty, with a trial set for June 2027, and no bail request has been made. Venezuelan interim authorities have demanded their release, describing the action as an abduction, while U.S. proceedings continue without any reported diplomatic agreements for repatriation or dismissal. Court updates through July 2026 confirm ongoing detention at the Metropolitan Detention Center in Brooklyn, with no scheduled events or legal developments likely to alter custody status before the end of 2026.

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