xBullRadar
XBR>
MACROSETTLED

# of in-game deaths during Kai and Speed Minecraft marathon?

30-49100%
// MARKET-IMPLIED PROBABILITIES
30-49
100%
<10
0%
10-29
0%
50-69
0%
70-89
0%
90+
0%
VOLUME
$395K
24H VOLUME
$272
LIQUIDITY
$0
RESOLVED
Sep 30, 2026

This market has settled: "30-49" was the outcome, priced at 100% at close. Full distribution: 30-49 100%, <10 0%, 10-29 0%, 50-69 0%. The market has traded $395K in total volume and resolved Sep 30, 2026. Kai Cenat and IShowSpeed wrapped their 121-hour Hardcore Minecraft marathon on August 12-13 after defeating the Ender Dragon, Wither, Warden, and Elder Guardian in a single run. The duo recorded exactly 42 in-game deaths across five days of streaming, landing squarely in the 30-49 range. This outcome aligns with their prior marathon two years earlier and reflects improved preparation, including coaching from speedrunner Feinberg on farms, strategies, and risk management despite frequent resets from inventory errors and combat slips. Strong trader consensus reflects the completed tally and limited upside for major deviations once the bosses fell. Unexpected last-minute resets or uncounted edge cases remain theoretically possible but carry negligible weight given the verified stream data.

// MORE MACRO MARKETS

Odds sourced live from Polymarket, refreshed through the day. Prediction-market participation carries risk and may be restricted in your jurisdiction. Informational only — not investment advice.