SAVE Act becomes law by...?

Traders currently price "December 31" at 14% for "SAVE Act becomes law by...?". Full distribution: December 31 14%, May 31 0%, June 30 0%, April 30 0%. The market has traded $537K in total volume and resolves Apr 30, 2026. The Senate filibuster remains the central barrier to the SAVE Act, or SAVE America Act, requiring 60 votes for cloture amid Republican majorities that fall short of overcoming Democratic opposition. The House passed versions in February and July 2026, including attempts to attach provisions to the NDAA and other measures, yet Senate consideration has stalled without sufficient cross-aisle support. Traders price low probabilities for enactment by target dates, reflecting repeated procedural setbacks and limited momentum for reconciliation or other pathways before the 2026 midterms. Key upcoming factors include budget resolution negotiations and any Senate floor efforts that could test vote counts or prompt further House-Senate differences.

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