"Spider-Man: Brand New Day" total domestic gross by August 31?

Traders currently price "800 - 900m" at 79% for ""Spider-Man: Brand New Day" total domestic gross by August 31?". Over the past 24 hours that probability moved up 40.0 points. Full distribution: 800 - 900m 79%, 900m+ 20%, <400m 0%, 400 - 500m 0%. The market has traded $1.1M in total volume and resolves Aug 31, 2026. **Spider-Man: Brand New Day** opened to a record $360 million domestic weekend on July 31, the biggest debut ever, and has maintained exceptional momentum with a $144 million second weekend and steady daily grosses exceeding $15–20 million into its third week. By mid-August the film had already surpassed $700 million domestically, placing it on pace to eclipse *Spider-Man: No Way Home*’s $814.8 million total while still enjoying strong audience engagement and minimal competition. Traders see the 800–900 million range as the most probable outcome by August 31 because the picture’s robust legs and continued front-loaded summer play should add roughly $100–180 million in the remaining weeks, with only a modest chance of pushing past $900 million absent further overperformance.

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