
"The Odyssey" total domestic gross by August 31? (Higher Strikes)
- 530 - 550m
- 56%
- −13.5
- 550 - 570m
- 38%
- +19.5
- 570m+
- 2%
- −2.6
- 510 - 530m
- 1%
- −8.9
- 490 - 510m
- 1%
- —
- <490m
- 0%
- —
Traders currently price "530 - 550m" at 56% for ""The Odyssey" total domestic gross by August 31? (Higher Strikes)". Over the past 24 hours that probability moved down 13.5 points. Full distribution: 530 - 550m 56%, 550 - 570m 38%, 570m+ 2%, 510 - 530m 1%. The market has traded $139K in total volume and resolves Aug 31, 2026. **Christopher Nolan’s “The Odyssey,” a three-hour R-rated epic released July 17, opened to a better-than-expected $124.5 million domestic weekend and has maintained unusually strong legs through mid-August.** As of August 12–14 it stands at roughly $477 million domestically, already surpassing several recent Nolan titles in pace and on track to become his highest-grossing film ever. Traders are pricing the 530–550 million band at 70.5 percent and the 550–570 million band at 22 percent because the film continues to hold screens in premium IMAX and 70 mm formats, benefits from positive critical and audience reception, and faces limited direct competition through the end of the month. Daily drops have remained modest, and extended runs plus strong word-of-mouth support continued mid-week and weekend business. The market’s tight clustering around the mid-500 million range reflects both the film’s proven momentum and the limited runway remaining before the August 31 cutoff, with China’s August 14 opening unlikely to move domestic totals.
Odds sourced live from Polymarket, refreshed through the day. Prediction-market participation carries risk and may be restricted in your jurisdiction. Informational only — not investment advice.
