TIME Person of the Year 2026
- Zohran Mamdani
- 32%
- −1.5
- Pope Leo XIV
- 17%
- —
- Donald Trump
- 14%
- −0.5
- Elon Musk
- 11%
- —
- Dario Amodei
- 9%
- +0.5
- Benjamin Netanyahu
- 8%
- —
- Shehbaz Sharif
- 7%
- —
- Péter Magyar
- 6%
- —
- ChatGPT
- 6%
- —
- Mohammad-Bagher Ghalibaf
- 5%
- —
- Jeremy Hansen
- 5%
- −4.5
- Marco Rubio
- 5%
- −1.0
- Artificial Intelligence
- 5%
- −2.0
- Taylor Swift
- 5%
- −2.4
- Jerome Powell
- 5%
- −0.5
- Bad Bunny
- 4%
- −1.0
- Victor Glover
- 4%
- −5.0
- Reid Wiseman
- 4%
- −4.3
- Sam Altman
- 4%
- −3.0
- Christina Koch
- 3%
- −4.8
- James Talarico
- 2%
- −3.2
- Alysa Liu
- 1%
- −3.3
Traders currently price "Zohran Mamdani" at 32% for "TIME Person of the Year 2026". Over the past 24 hours that probability moved down 1.5 points. Full distribution: Zohran Mamdani 32%, Pope Leo XIV 17%, Donald Trump 14%, Elon Musk 11%. The market has traded $14K in total volume and resolves Dec 31, 2026. Zohran Mamdani currently leads Polymarket odds for TIME Person of the Year 2026 at roughly 33%, ahead of Pope Leo XIV and Donald Trump, reflecting traders' assessment of his rising visibility in major political developments. TIME editors weigh the individual or group that most shaped the year's news cycle, with recent momentum favoring figures tied to U.S. politics and global influence amid the release of the 2026 TIME100 list. AI leaders like Sam Altman and tech executives remain in play given 2025's "Architects of AI" precedent, while historical patterns show late-year events can shift consensus before the December announcement. Traders should monitor major headlines through fall, as box-office equivalents in cultural impact or breaking political stories often decide the outcome.
Odds sourced live from Polymarket, refreshed through the day. Prediction-market participation carries risk and may be restricted in your jurisdiction. Informational only — not investment advice.