Tread FDV above ___ one day after launch?
- $5M
- 85%
- −2.3
- $20M
- 66%
- +0.5
- $40M
- 43%
- +1.5
- $80M
- 39%
- −1.5
- $100M
- 28%
- +0.5
- $150M
- 17%
- −1.5
- $200M
- 6%
- −6.4
- $400M
- 4%
- —
- $500M
- 2%
- —
- $300M
- 2%
- —
Traders currently price "$5M" at 85% for "Tread FDV above ___ one day after launch?". Over the past 24 hours that probability moved down 2.3 points. Full distribution: $5M 85%, $20M 66%, $40M 43%, $80M 39%. The market has traded $143K in total volume and resolves Jan 1, 2028. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Tread's token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No." Only an official token launched by Tread will qualify. Stablecoins, memecoins, LSTs and synthetic tokens will not count. The token must be actively and publicly tradable to be considered a launch. The FDV will be determined using the total token supply multiplied by the token price. "1 day after launch" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If Tread (https://x.com/tread_fi) doesn't launch a token by January 1, 2028, 12:00 AM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
Odds sourced live from Polymarket, refreshed through the day. Prediction-market participation carries risk and may be restricted in your jurisdiction. Informational only — not investment advice.