UFC 330: Islam Makhachev vs. Ian Machado Garry (Welterweight, Main Card)
- O/U 0.5 Rounds
- 94%
- +3.6
- O/U 1.5 Rounds
- 87%
- +4.0
- Islam Makhachev vs. Ian Machado Garry
- 76%
- —
- O/U 2.5 Rounds
- 73%
- +1.0
- O/U 3.5 Rounds
- 70%
- +6.0
- O/U 4.5 Rounds
- 58%
- −2.5
- Fight to Go the Distance?
- 53%
- −1.0
- Fight won by submission?
- 34%
- −1.0
- Machado Garry to win by KO/TKO?
- 14%
- +4.0
- Fight won by KO/TKO?
- 13%
- −2.5
- Makhachev to win by KO/TKO?
- 8%
- −6.0
Traders currently price "O/U 0.5 Rounds" at 94% for "UFC 330: Islam Makhachev vs. Ian Machado Garry (Welterweight, Main Card)". Over the past 24 hours that probability moved up 3.6 points. Full distribution: O/U 0.5 Rounds 94%, O/U 1.5 Rounds 87%, Islam Makhachev vs. Ian Machado Garry 76%, O/U 2.5 Rounds 73%. The market has traded $686K in total volume and resolves Aug 16, 2026. Islam Makhachev defends the UFC welterweight title against undefeated contender Ian Machado Garry in the UFC 330 main event on August 15 at Xfinity Mobile Arena in Philadelphia. Both fighters cleared the 170-pound limit without issue at official weigh-ins, confirming no last-minute adjustments or medical concerns. Makhachev enters with superior grappling pedigree and experience against elite competition, while Garry brings elite striking volume, youth, and recent momentum as the division's top-ranked challenger. Pre-fight press conferences and faceoffs highlighted stylistic contrasts, with Makhachev favored in trader pricing reflecting his track record, though MMA's inherent variance leaves room for Garry to capitalize on any range or cardio edges. No reported injuries or roster changes affect the matchup.
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