What will S&P 500 (SPY) hit in August 2026?
- ↑ $770
- 100%
- +42.4
- ↑ $760
- 100%
- +24.4
- ↑ $750
- 100%
- +17.4
- ↑ $740
- 100%
- +0.5
- ↑ $780
- 90%
- −4.5
- ↑ $790
- 45%
- −11.8
- ↑ $800
- 18%
- −3.8
- ↓ $730
- 10%
- +1.0
- ↓ $720
- 5%
- −1.5
- ↓ $700
- 3%
- —
- ↓ $690
- 3%
- —
- ↓ $710
- 2%
- —
- ↓ $670
- 1%
- —
- ↓ $680
- 1%
- —
Traders currently price "↑ $770" at 100% for "What will S&P 500 (SPY) hit in August 2026?". Over the past 24 hours that probability moved up 42.4 points. Full distribution: ↑ $770 100%, ↑ $760 100%, ↑ $750 100%, ↑ $740 100%. The market has traded $92K in total volume and resolves Sep 1, 2026. Recent cooler-than-expected July CPI and PPI prints have driven the S&P 500 to record closes near 7,799, with the index trading around 7,786 as of mid-August amid reduced odds of a near-term Fed rate hike. The central bank’s target range remains 3.50–3.75 percent following the July FOMC hold, while resilient corporate earnings and AI-related strength support equity momentum. Traders are now focused on the September 15–16 FOMC meeting and upcoming inflation and labor data that could shift monetary policy expectations and influence whether the index sustains levels above 7,800 or encounters resistance into month-end.
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