What will Gold (XAUUSD) hit in August 2026?
- ↑ $4,400
- 100%
- +15.4
- ↑ $4,300
- 100%
- +35.9
- ↑ $4,200
- 100%
- +45.5
- ↑ $4,100
- 100%
- +17.0
- ↑ $4,500
- 40%
- −31.0
- ↑ $4,600
- 10%
- −22.8
- ↓ $4,000
- 8%
- +2.0
- ↑ $4,700
- 5%
- −12.3
- ↓ $3,900
- 3%
- +0.6
- ↓ $3,800
- 2%
- —
- ↓ $3,700
- 1%
- —
- ↓ $3,600
- 1%
- —
- ↓ $3,400
- 1%
- —
- ↓ $3,500
- 1%
- —
Traders currently price "↑ $4,400" at 100% for "What will Gold (XAUUSD) hit in August 2026?". Over the past 24 hours that probability moved up 15.4 points. Full distribution: ↑ $4,400 100%, ↑ $4,300 100%, ↑ $4,200 100%, ↑ $4,100 100%. The market has traded $432K in total volume and resolves Sep 1, 2026. Gold (XAU/USD) trades near $4,340–$4,360 per ounce in mid-August 2026 after correcting sharply from its January all-time high near $5,589 amid shifting monetary policy expectations. Softer July U.S. CPI and PPI readings have tempered bets on near-term Federal Reserve rate hikes, providing support by easing pressure on real yields and the dollar, while persistent geopolitical tensions and central bank demand continue to underpin safe-haven flows. Analysts at major banks have revised 2026 year-end targets lower to the $4,000–$4,900 range, citing a more hawkish Fed tilt and reduced odds of aggressive easing. Key near-term catalysts include upcoming U.S. retail sales, nonfarm payrolls, and any further inflation or labor market releases that could alter rate-path probabilities priced into futures.
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