What will be the #2 US Netflix show this week?

Traders currently price "Tires: Season 3" at 82% for "What will be the #2 US Netflix show this week?". Over the past 24 hours that probability moved up 30.3 points. Full distribution: Tires: Season 3 82%, Show A 50%, Show B 50%, Show C 50%. The market has traded $21K in total volume and resolves Aug 18, 2026. Tires: Season 3's August 13 premiere on Netflix has fueled strong trader consensus at 84.4% implied probability for the #2 US spot, driven by Shane Gillis' comedy momentum, solid early streaming metrics, and workplace-sitcom buzz that typically fuels quick chart climbs. New limited series like Conversations with a Killer: The Charles Manson Tapes sit at 10% amid modest debut interest, while returning titles such as My Life With the Walter Boys (1.4%) and niche entries like The Idaho Murders or Mourinho show limited traction. With the chart locking soon after release, viewership velocity and competition from any dominant #1 title remain the key swing factors for this week's outcome.

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