xBullRadar
XBR>
MACROLIVE

What will be the top US Netflix show this week?

My Life With the Walter Boys: Season 393% 2.3pt 24h
// MARKET-IMPLIED PROBABILITIES
My Life With the Walter Boys: Season 3
93%
Show A
50%
Show B
50%
Show C
50%
Show D
50%
Show E
50%
Show F
50%
Show G
50%
Other
50%
Tires: Season 3
5%
Conversations with a Killer: The Charles Manson Tapes: Season 1
1%
The Idaho Murders: College Nightmare: Season 1
0%
The Bombing of Pan Am 103: Limited Series
0%
Mourinho: Season 1
0%
VOLUME
$32K
24H VOLUME
$24K
LIQUIDITY
$25K
RESOLVES
Aug 18, 2026

Traders currently price "My Life With the Walter Boys: Season 3" at 93% for "What will be the top US Netflix show this week?". Over the past 24 hours that probability moved down 2.3 points. Full distribution: My Life With the Walter Boys: Season 3 93%, Show A 50%, Show B 50%, Show C 50%. The market has traded $32K in total volume and resolves Aug 18, 2026. My Life With the Walter Boys Season 3 holds dominant market-implied odds near 93% due to its August 6 Netflix premiere and immediate chart-topping performance, logging 71 million viewing hours and nine million views in its debut week as a popular YA romance. Traders cite the show's established fanbase, strong promotional push including trailers and cast interviews, and historical precedent for similar teen dramas surging in early weeks. Other titles like Tires or limited series register far lower odds amid weaker recent metrics or established runs. An upset could occur if competing shows post sharp streaming gains or if Walter Boys viewership drops sharply after the initial hype window closes before the week's charts finalize.

// MORE MACRO MARKETS

Odds sourced live from Polymarket, refreshed through the day. Prediction-market participation carries risk and may be restricted in your jurisdiction. Informational only — not investment advice.