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MACROSETTLED

Which mobs will eliminate Kai or Speed?

Creeper100%
// MARKET-IMPLIED PROBABILITIES
Creeper
100%
Skeleton
100%
Spider
100%
Wither Skeleton
100%
Zombified Piglin
100%
Creeper (again)
100%
Zombie
50%
Wither Skeleton (again)
50%
Creeper (again)
50%
Skeleton (again)
50%
Enderman
0%
Blaze
0%
Ghast
0%
Phantom
0%
Iron Golem
0%
Polar Bear
0%
Witch
0%
Slime
0%
Pillager
0%
Piglin
0%
Hoglin
0%
Wither Skeleton (again)
0%
Zombie (again)
0%
Zombified Piglin (again)
0%
Skeleton (again)
0%
Wither
0%
Ender Dragon
0%
Warden
0%
Elder Guardian
0%
Vex
0%
Creeper (again)
0%
Spider (again)
0%
VOLUME
$174K
24H VOLUME
$34K
LIQUIDITY
$0
RESOLVED
Aug 31, 2026

This market has settled: "Creeper" was the outcome, priced at 100% at close. Full distribution: Creeper 100%, Skeleton 100%, Spider 100%, Wither Skeleton 100%. The market has traded $174K in total volume and resolved Aug 31, 2026. Kai Cenat and IShowSpeed launched a joint hardcore Minecraft marathon on August 7, targeting the Ender Dragon, Wither, Warden, and Elder Guardian on a shared Java seed without deaths. High-volume trader activity has centered on common early-game threats like creepers and skeletons as the most likely eliminators, reflecting the duo's documented pace exceeding 40 total in-game deaths within days. The event's competitive framing, live streaming dynamics, and strict no-death resolution criteria have amplified focus on mob-specific probabilities amid ongoing attempts. Key upcoming catalysts include continued boss progression and any reported close calls with explosive or ranged mobs that could shift sentiment before resolution.

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