Which movie has 2nd biggest opening weekend in 2026?
- Avengers: Doomsday
- 72%
- —
- Movie B
- 50%
- —
- Movie C
- 50%
- —
- Movie D
- 50%
- —
- Movie E
- 50%
- —
- Movie F
- 50%
- —
- Movie G
- 50%
- —
- Movie H
- 50%
- —
- Movie I
- 50%
- —
- Movie J
- 50%
- —
- Movie K
- 50%
- —
- Movie L
- 50%
- —
- Movie M
- 50%
- —
- Movie N
- 50%
- —
- Movie O
- 50%
- —
- Other
- 50%
- —
- Spider-Man: Brand New Day
- 20%
- −7.0
- Dune: Messiah
- 0%
- −0.9
- Toy Story 5
- 0%
- —
- The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the Reaping
- 0%
- —
- The Super Mario Galaxy Movie
- 0%
- —
Traders currently price "Avengers: Doomsday" at 72% for "Which movie has 2nd biggest opening weekend in 2026?". Full distribution: Avengers: Doomsday 72%, Movie B 50%, Movie C 50%, Movie D 50%. The market has traded $39K in total volume and resolves Dec 31, 2026. Avengers: Doomsday leads trader sentiment for the second-biggest 2026 domestic opening at 71.5% implied probability because its December 18 release positions it as the next major MCU tentpole after Spider-Man: Brand New Day’s record $360 million debut. Positive box office momentum from Brand New Day, including Disney commentary linking the two films, has boosted expectations for Doomsday’s holiday corridor performance. Spider-Man: Brand New Day sits at 28% as traders weigh whether its already-achieved #1 spot leaves room for it to rank second, while earlier releases like Toy Story 5 and The Odyssey have set benchmarks but lack Doomsday’s scale. Low probabilities for Dune: Messiah and The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the Reaping reflect limited tracking data and competition from confirmed blockbusters. Upcoming tracking updates and presale figures will be key swing factors before the December lock.
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