Which movie has 3rd biggest opening weekend in 2026?
- Toy Story 5
- 89%
- —
- Movie B
- 50%
- —
- Movie C
- 50%
- —
- Movie D
- 50%
- —
- Movie E
- 50%
- —
- Movie F
- 50%
- —
- Movie G
- 50%
- —
- Movie H
- 50%
- —
- Movie I
- 50%
- —
- Movie J
- 50%
- —
- Movie K
- 50%
- —
- Movie L
- 50%
- —
- Movie M
- 50%
- —
- Movie N
- 50%
- —
- Movie O
- 50%
- —
- Other
- 50%
- —
- The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the Reaping
- 5%
- +0.5
- Avengers: Doomsday
- 3%
- —
- Dune: Messiah
- 3%
- —
- Spider-Man: Brand New Day
- 3%
- —
- The Super Mario Galaxy Movie
- 0%
- —
- The Odyssey
- 0%
- −1.7
Traders currently price "Toy Story 5" at 89% for "Which movie has 3rd biggest opening weekend in 2026?". Full distribution: Toy Story 5 89%, Movie B 50%, Movie C 50%, Movie D 50%. The market has traded $15K in total volume and resolves Dec 31, 2026. Toy Story 5 commands overwhelming trader consensus at 88.5% implied probability for the third-largest 2026 opening weekend, driven by Pixar’s proven franchise strength, broad family appeal, and an expected premium summer or holiday release window that historically delivers massive presales and theatrical grosses. Recent industry tracking shows strong early buzz around its return to the beloved Toy Story universe, positioning it ahead of major 2026 tentpoles like Avengers: Doomsday and Dune: Messiah, which sit below 3% amid later release dates and more specialized audiences. Titles such as The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the Reaping at 5.7% face competition from established IP dominance, while multiple unnamed entries at 50% reflect uncertainty around exact release calendars and box-office tracking updates. Key upcoming catalysts include final 2026 slate confirmations and initial presale data that could further solidify or shift the frontrunner’s edge before year-end.
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