Who will be UFC Heavyweight champion at the end of 2026?

Traders currently price "Tom Aspinall" at 52% for "Who will be UFC Heavyweight champion at the end of 2026?". Full distribution: Tom Aspinall 52%, Ciryl Gane 34%, Josh Hokit 0%, Alexander Volkov 0%. The market has traded $337K in total volume and resolves Dec 31, 2026. Tom Aspinall holds the undisputed UFC heavyweight title after Jon Jones vacated the belt, giving him the strongest positioning in the division heading into late 2026. Ciryl Gane captured the interim crown with a second-round TKO of Alex Pereira in June 2026, setting up a highly anticipated unification rematch following their October 2025 no-contest at UFC 321 that ended on an inadvertent eye poke and forced Aspinall into surgery. Aspinall’s recovery timeline, recent training updates, and willingness to face Gane in Paris or a similar high-profile card underpin trader consensus around his edge. Gane’s striking precision and prior success against top competition keep him as the clear secondary option. The remaining field, including Alexander Volkov and rising names like Jailton Almeida, trails far behind due to limited recent momentum or title opportunities in a division defined by these two frontrunners.

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