Who will close Warner Bros. acquisition?

Traders currently price "Paramount" at 73% for "Who will close Warner Bros. acquisition?". Full distribution: Paramount 73%, None by June 30, 2027 23%, Netflix 1%, Comcast 1%. The market has traded $1.2M in total volume and resolves Jun 30, 2027. Paramount Skydance holds a definitive merger agreement to acquire Warner Bros. Discovery in an all-cash deal valued at roughly $111 billion, following shareholder approval and clearance from the U.S. Department of Justice on antitrust grounds. State attorneys general lawsuits prompted a temporary restraining order and subsequent agreement to extend the closing timeline as late as June 2027, introducing execution risk that supports the 22.5% probability assigned to no closing by that date. Earlier bidding competition from Netflix ended with its withdrawal after Paramount's superior offer prevailed, while Comcast has remained on the sidelines. These regulatory milestones, legal setbacks, and the absence of active rival bids explain trader consensus favoring Paramount while pricing in meaningful delay uncertainty.

Odds sourced live from Polymarket, refreshed through the day. Prediction-market participation carries risk and may be restricted in your jurisdiction. Informational only — not investment advice.