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MACROLIVE

Who will die in Avengers: Doomsday?

Doctor Strange64% 1.5pt 24h
// MARKET-IMPLIED PROBABILITIES
Doctor Strange
64%
Loki
51%
Ant-Man
47%
Shang-Chi
42%
Captain America (Sam Wilson)
41%
Steve Rogers
41%
Spider-Man
40%
Thor
38%
Doctor Doom
13%
VOLUME
$23K
24H VOLUME
$436
LIQUIDITY
$3K
RESOLVES
Jul 18, 2026

Traders currently price "Doctor Strange" at 64% for "Who will die in Avengers: Doomsday?". Over the past 24 hours that probability moved up 1.5 points. Full distribution: Doctor Strange 64%, Loki 51%, Ant-Man 47%, Shang-Chi 42%. The market has traded $23K in total volume and resolves Jul 18, 2026. Rumors of permanent, non-multiversal deaths for at least one new Avenger and legacy characters like Tobey Maguire’s Spider-Man or Hugh Jackman’s Wolverine are shaping trader sentiment around Avengers: Doomsday, as leaks position these casualties early to establish Doctor Doom as an existential threat in the December 18, 2026 release. The multiversal storyline, pitting Avengers against X-Men and Fantastic Four teams amid reality-colliding incursions, fuels speculation that off-screen X-Men losses and female hero deaths will deliver emotional weight without easy reversals. Marvel’s recent emphasis on raising stakes beyond Endgame-style resurrections drives the narrative, though all details remain unverified leaks ahead of potential trailer updates or San Diego Comic-Con reveals. Traders watch for guild or precursor buzz on tone and any official cast confirmations that could shift implied probabilities on who survives the crossover.

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