Who will Merab Dvalishivili fight next?

Traders currently price "Petr Yan" at 89% for "Who will Merab Dvalishivili fight next?". Over the past 24 hours that probability moved down 1.0 points. Full distribution: Petr Yan 89%, Umar Nurmagomedov 3%, Payton Talbott 2%, Song Yadong 2%. The market has traded $1.2M in total volume and resolves Dec 31, 2026. Merab Dvalishvili’s next UFC bout centers on a likely trilogy with Petr Yan after the former champion reclaimed the bantamweight title via unanimous decision at UFC 323 in December 2025. Recent reports highlight ongoing negotiations for a third meeting, potentially headlining UFC 333 in Abu Dhabi later this year, reflecting the division’s preference for high-profile rematches between top contenders with established history. Dvalishvili’s interim grappling appearances have not altered this trajectory. Factors that could shift the outcome include injuries, weight-cut complications, or UFC matchmaking that elevates another ranked fighter such as Umar Nurmagomedov if the trilogy is delayed.

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