Who will Petr Yan fight next?

Traders currently price "Merab Dvalishvili" at 88% for "Who will Petr Yan fight next?". Over the past 24 hours that probability moved down 0.5 points. Full distribution: Merab Dvalishvili 88%, Sean O’Malley 7%, Song Yadong 2%, Alexander Volkanovski 1%. The market has traded $1.1M in total volume and resolves Dec 31, 2026. Petr Yan’s next opponent is overwhelmingly expected to be Merab Dvalishvili in their bantamweight trilogy bout, reflecting the established rivalry and scheduling momentum. Yan reclaimed the title with a unanimous-decision victory over Dvalishvili at UFC 323 in December 2025, avenging an earlier loss, then recovered from back surgery that sidelined him into summer 2026. Dvalishvili has repeatedly prioritized the trilogy, and reports point to a confirmed matchup at UFC 333 in October. This consensus aligns with official title-defense patterns and both fighters’ public statements. While an injury, withdrawal, or promotional shift could open the door for Sean O’Malley or another contender, the current trajectory strongly favors the trilogy rematch as the immediate next step.

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