Will Canva’s valuation hit __ by December 31?

Traders currently price "↓$37.5B" at 62% for "Will Canva’s valuation hit __ by December 31?". Over the past 24 hours that probability moved up 21.5 points. Full distribution: ↓$37.5B 62%, ↓$40B 56%, ↑$42.5B 50%, ↑$45B 32%. The market has traded $52K in total volume and resolves Jan 1, 2027. Canva’s most recent secondary valuation stands at $42 billion following its August 2025 employee tender offer at roughly $1,646 per share, supported by an estimated $3.5 billion annualized revenue run rate that implies a 12x multiple alongside eight years of profitability. Trader sentiment for reaching higher thresholds by year-end 2026 hinges on sustained user growth beyond 260 million monthly actives, AI-driven feature adoption, and potential multiple expansion in a favorable tech IPO environment after Figma’s 2025 listing. Secondary market activity and any new tender offers or regulatory filings ahead of a rumored 2026–2027 public debut represent key near-term catalysts that could reprice shares and influence market-implied odds.

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