Will Databricks' valuation hit __ by August 31?

Traders currently price "↑$180B" at 100% for "Will Databricks' valuation hit __ by August 31?". Over the past 24 hours that probability moved up 48.8 points. Full distribution: ↑$180B 100%, ↑$175B 100%, ↑$190B 78%, ↑$200B 24%. The market has traded $11K in total volume and resolves Sep 1, 2026. Databricks closed a $5 billion funding round on August 13 at a $190 billion valuation, up from the prior $134 billion mark set in February, reflecting strong investor demand amid its AI and data platform growth. This latest round, led by Coatue with participation from firms including Blackstone and T. Rowe Price, sets the current benchmark just weeks before the August 31 deadline. Private valuations for the company are determined primarily through such equity financings or secondary tenders rather than public trading, with limited catalysts expected in the immediate term to drive another step-up. Market-implied odds will hinge on whether any near-term tender activity or revised terms emerge before month-end.

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