Will Databricks' valuation hit __ by December 31?

Traders currently price "↑$180B" at 100% for "Will Databricks' valuation hit __ by December 31?". Over the past 24 hours that probability moved up 2.9 points. Full distribution: ↑$180B 100%, ↑$170B 100%, ↑$160B 100%, ↑$190B 93%. The market has traded $118K in total volume and resolves Jan 1, 2027. Databricks' valuation trajectory reflects robust AI-driven demand for its data platform, with annualized recurring revenue reaching a $5.4 billion run rate by mid-2026 at 65% year-over-year growth following the prior $134 billion Series L round in December 2025. Recent developments include a July 2026 term sheet for a Coatue-led strategic round at a $188 billion post-money valuation, signaling strong investor appetite amid elevated AI sector multiples and secondary market trading near $240 per share. CEO comments highlight potential 2026 IPO readiness, though a crowded calendar with other high-profile listings introduces timing uncertainty. Key catalysts ahead include round closure this summer, possible tender offers, and any public filing that could crystallize or shift implied valuations before year-end resolution.

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