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MACROLIVE

Will Dune: Part Three be delayed?

No91%
// MARKET-IMPLIED PROBABILITIES
No
91%
Yes
10%
VOLUME
$12K
24H VOLUME
$50
LIQUIDITY
$4K
RESOLVES
Dec 18, 2026

Traders currently price "No" at 91% for "Will Dune: Part Three be delayed?". The market has traded $12K in total volume and resolves Dec 18, 2026. Dune: Part Three remains firmly on track for its December 18, 2026 theatrical release, with traders assigning just a 9.5% chance of delay. Filming wrapped in November 2025 after a smooth summer start in Budapest and other locations, transitioning quickly into post-production by early 2026 under Denis Villeneuve. Warner Bros. has publicly held the date despite direct competition from Avengers: Doomsday, and IMAX 70mm screenings are already being promoted. This progress aligns with the efficient timelines of the prior films and strong studio commitment. Realistic upset risks include extended visual effects work or last-minute scheduling shifts, though current indicators show no such pressure.

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